Insurance & Risk Management
Carbon forests face real risks. Fire, storms, disease, and other events can destroy trees and create financial liabilities. Understanding and managing these risks is part of responsible carbon farming.
Key Risks
Fire
The biggest risk for exotic plantations:
- Radiata pine is highly flammable, especially in dry conditions
- Northern regions face increasing fire risk with climate change
- Large fires can destroy thousands of hectares
- Fire can spread quickly on steep terrain
Storm and Wind
New Zealand is exposed to severe weather:
- Cyclones (especially in northern regions)
- High winds can cause widespread windthrow
- Saturated soils increase vulnerability
- Exposed ridgelines most at risk
Disease and Pests
Various threats affect different species:
- Dothistroma needle blight (radiata pine)
- Red needle cast
- Pitch canker (increasing concern)
- Psyllids (eucalyptus)
- Pest mammals (browsing natives)
Other Natural Events
- Landslides
- Flooding
- Drought stress
- Snow damage (higher elevations)
- Volcanic activity (some regions)
Financial Impacts
When forest is destroyed, you face:
Carbon Liabilities
Under stock change accounting, destruction means surrender obligations. Even under averaging, if you can’t replant, liabilities arise.
The temporary adverse event exemption helps — but you still lose future income while the forest recovers.
Lost Future Income
Destroyed forest can’t earn units. Even with exemptions, you face:
- Years without carbon income
- Costs of re-establishment
- Delayed cash flow
Direct Costs
Post-event costs include:
- Salvage operations (if timber can be recovered)
- Debris clearing
- Replanting
- Pest control in damaged areas
The Temporary Adverse Event Exemption
What It Does
The TAES provides relief for forests damaged by natural events:
- Suspends surrender obligations
- Allows time to replant (4 years)
- Pauses carbon earning until recovery
- Protects from immediate financial hit
Limitations
The exemption doesn’t cover:
- Lost future income
- Replanting costs
- Salvage costs
- Long-term income reduction
It prevents punitive surrender liabilities but doesn’t make you whole.
Qualifying
To qualify:
- Event must be natural/accidental (fire, storm, etc.)
- Must apply to MPI within required timeframe
- Must commit to replanting
- Deliberate or negligent actions don’t qualify
Insurance Options
Traditional Forestry Insurance
Standard forestry insurance covers timber value:
- Standing timber loss
- Fire, storm, and specified perils
- Based on stumpage value
This doesn’t directly address carbon liabilities, but timber insurance provides some financial buffer.
Carbon Liability Insurance
Specialist products covering ETS surrender liabilities are available from select providers:
Coverage options:
- Direct surrender liability (units you’d owe after an event)
- Loss of Future Earnings (LOFE) — typically covering 3-5 years of lost carbon income up to averaging age (~16 years)
- Combined timber and carbon policies
Specialist providers: Sage Partners designed New Zealand’s first carbon credit-based forest insurance policy and now insures approximately 70% of carbon-based forestry insurance in NZ. They offer tailored policies for both plantation timber owners and “lock up and leave” native forest carbon farmers.
Coverage typically includes:
- Fire and malicious damage
- Lightning
- Aircraft or vehicle impact
- Storm (though expensive due to frequency)
Since the TAES exemption was introduced, demand for pure surrender liability insurance has decreased. However, LOFE coverage remains valuable — TAES exempts you from surrender but doesn’t replace the years of lost income while your forest recovers.
Current Market Reality
As of 2025:
- Limited insurers providing carbon-specific cover
- Premiums can be high (especially for fire-prone areas)
- Deductibles may be significant
- Underwriters cautious after large losses
If insurance is important to your risk management, shop early and widely.
Risk Mitigation Strategies
Fire Prevention
Practical measures:
- Maintain firebreaks and access tracks
- Clear debris and slash
- Manage ground vegetation
- Monitor fire danger ratings
- Have water supplies available
- Maintain good neighbour relations
Planning:
- Fire response plan
- Clear communication channels
- Know your local fire authority
- Consider mutual aid arrangements
Storm Resilience
Site selection:
- Avoid exposed ridgelines for vulnerable species
- Consider wind-firmness of species
- Account for prevailing wind direction
Forest management:
- Appropriate stocking rates
- Thinning to improve wind-firmness
- Mixed species for resilience
- Edge management
Disease Management
Prevention:
- Choose resistant varieties where available
- Match species to site
- Monitor for early symptoms
- Good forest hygiene
Response:
- Early detection and reporting
- Follow industry biosecurity protocols
- Targeted removal if required
Diversification
Don’t put all eggs in one basket:
- Multiple forest blocks in different locations
- Mix of species
- Mix of age classes
- Staged planting over time
If one area is affected, others continue earning.
Financial Risk Management
Unit Reserves
Hold some NZUs as a buffer:
- Don’t sell 100% immediately
- Maintain reserve for contingencies
- Balance against opportunity cost
Cash Reserves
Keep financial buffer for:
- Replanting costs
- Salvage operations
- Interim period without income
Staged Selling
Selling units over time reduces:
- Price timing risk
- Tax spikes
- Concentration risk
Contract Terms
In aggregation or marketing agreements:
- Understand liability allocation
- Check for event-related provisions
- Know your obligations if events occur
Risk Assessment
Before registering, assess:
Site Risk Factors
- Fire history in the area
- Exposure to wind
- Soil stability
- Drainage and flood risk
- Pest and disease prevalence
Regional Risk Factors
- Climate trends
- Fire danger trends
- Extreme weather frequency
- Access for fire response
Management Risk Factors
- Your capacity to manage
- Access for maintenance
- Ability to respond to events
- Neighbour management
Insurance Checklist
If you’re seeking insurance:
- Understand what you’re insuring — timber value, carbon liability, or both?
- Get multiple quotes — market is thin
- Check exclusions — what’s not covered?
- Understand deductibles — your first loss exposure
- Review annually — coverage needs change
- Document everything — photos, records, maps
Key Takeaways
- Real risks exist — fire, storm, disease can destroy forests
- TAES helps but doesn’t make you whole — exempts surrender but not lost income
- Insurance market is limited — fewer options than for general forestry
- Prevention beats cure — manage risks actively
- Diversification matters — spread risk across sites and time
- Hold reserves — units and cash buffer